Thursday, June 4, 2009

Treasuries Still Beat the Market


About seven months ago we did a simple analysis which asked; if you invested $1,000 a month for the prior twenty years in either 30 year Treasuries or a bundle of the DOW, where would you be today if you decided to retire. We then calculated the ratio of the accumulated bundle in Treasuries to the accumulated bundle in the DOW and plotted the ratio as a function of the retirement date. It shows that until recently you were better off investing in the market, at least until all hell broke loose. Now you better stay in Treasuries or the like. Interesting analysis for those who sell the market for the long term.