Sunday, November 17, 2013

Realism in Washington

I had a friend whose spouse received a very prominent appointment as a sub-Cabinet level position for a prior Administration. Before this person went to DC, the person was a very renowned academic, well known for their capabilities in the specific field; I told them that they should find someone “to watch their back”, as the first hire they made. Find a good “back watcher” and then you had a chance to survive. Then I told them that they must abandon all lofty goals and try to survive long enough to allow something good to happen. It may not be what they expected, but to get something done one must survive long enough, but not too long. I finally told them that there are people in Government whose sole job is to “back stab”. It is nothing personal, just their job. An appointee must understand that and take appropriate measures, again nothing personal.

Well, as expected, they thought my view of Washington was jaded. Then after a brief while, their career in DC cut short for the predicted reasons, we met and they told me that my advice had been the only true and spot on advice they received. Everyone else said they should “make a difference”. Yet how could one do that if they were continually stabbed in the back. And, yes they told me that there was, indeed, a cadre of professional “back stabbers”. If only they had listened.

I had seen this in the 70s during my stay in the City of No Good. It has just gotten worse and the one thing our Founders did that was just brilliant was to place the Capitol in a swamp, a metaphor for future generations. They kindly took it from New York, and sat it on the banks of the Potomac, just below the Falls.

Thus when I read the complaints of a recent academic having gone to DC I saw again the same story, and perhaps this individual had no one to tell them what would happen. What would you expect, especially if your goal is to change something that half the country out the gate despises? Just because you think it is good does not mean anything.

As this more recent academic who journey into the belly of the beast states[1]:

Few lobbyists in Washington are more powerful than organized medicine and organized hospitals. Were they to demand a new health care system, they would prevail. But their agendas, mostly, are not yet about change; they are about surviving the current storm.

Survival is and has always been the mantra of those in DC. So what is the surprise, if one had ever sought advice then this would hardly have had been news.

The author continues:

Local, state, and national governments all affect health care. For instance, the safety net for the poor tends to be based in communities and states, whereas Medicare is, of course, national. Because of this chimeric structure, almost any proposal for federal action as ambitious as the ACA exposes ambivalence about federalism making the politics of reform contentious. For example, there is chaotic variation among states in how Medicaid expansion and exchanges will coordinate enrollment processes under the ACA.

People do not really trust the Federal Government much. Never did and never will. The old adage, “I am from the Federal Government and I am here to help you.” has always been a joke. It gets a laugh every time it is told. One must understand that and not have some ambiguity of expectations. The Constitution, the law of the land, is structured to allow blocking on one branch by another. Yes, “elections have consequences”, and since we do not yet have a monarchy the House can block the Executive. That is the way it works.

A final comment is made:

The ACA has begun the most significant tectonic shift in the nation’s health care since Medicare and Medicaid arrived in 1965. Professionals have an opportunity to guide this country out of the battleground and into the creativity needed. The toxins of politics have only one effective antidote: the memory of the shared purpose of care, which is to heal. The needs of the patient come first. That is the guidepost to success for a nation whose vision is clouded at the moment by the fog of conflict.

The ACA has clearly begun to collapse under its own weight, which frankly is only beginning to be shown. The ACA does everything but put the needs of the patient first. In fact one need just look at the past few weeks. The needs of the patient, as the patient sees them, have been put dead last. The “needs” as the Central Governmental Executive sees them is another thing. Academics are always amazed when they face reality, either in business or Government. Reality is ruthless, and it is often in that ruthless combat that solutions are forged. Good solutions are compromises, bad solutions are mandates.

Another Academic who has managed their way through Washington says we need another goal, another Space Program. He states[2]:

The US health care system needs a new BHAG: By 2020, per capita health care costs will increase no more than gross domestic product (GDP) +0%. That is, by the end of the decade, health care costs per person will not grow faster than the economy as a whole.

By BHAG he apparently means “big hairy audacious goal” which must be Academic speak for something just beyond any reasonable goal. He compares this to the Moon Program. In a previous set of pieces I had argued that the Moon Program actually set the US back a decade or two. For as we sent the best engineers into NASA type jobs the Japanese sent their new engineers into building electronics and a better economy so that by the 1980s they were ahead and we were behind. One should be thankful for the financial incompetence in Washington in the 1970s since it forced the creative minds out of Government work and into the commercial sphere. That led to our boom in the 1990s.

The driving of these Government programs will most likely repeat the failures of the 1970 and 1980s, but on a much grander scale. We no longer just worry about Japan, we have China. As we tighten the noose around a tightly controlled Central Government, China is lessening theirs. That is the risk we see in the future, not just the fact that the ACA is a disaster as a web site.