Wednesday, September 16, 2009

CPI Data and Increases

The Department of Labor issued the CPI data as of this morning. We depict it below.

First is the CPI total with month by month changes.



















The total CPI is increasing driven by fuels costs and related costs. We show the details below:



















Note the changes in actual annual and annualized from the last month. The spikes are in growth of auto sales, new versus used. Medical care services and commodities are the two largest after taking out the effect of rising oil costs.

The BLS summarizes this report as follows:

" On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The index has decreased 1.5 percent over the last 12 months on a not seasonally adjusted basis. The 0.4 percent seasonally adjusted increase in the CPI-U was driven by a 9.1 percent rise in the gasoline index. This increase accounted for almost the entire advance in the energy index and over 80 percent of the overall increase. Despite the August increase, the gasoline index has fallen 30.0 percent over the last 12 months.

The indexes for food and for all items less food and energy both posted slight increases in August. The food index rose 0.1 percent following a 0.3 percent decline in July. The food at home index, which fell 0.5 percent in July, was unchanged in August. Of the six major grocery store food group indexes, three rose in August and three declined. The index for all items less food and energy also rose 0.1 percent in August, the second consecutive such increase. Increases in the indexes for used cars and trucks, medical care, public transportation and lodging away from home offset a decline in the new vehicle index. The index for all items less food and energy increased 1.4 percent over the last 12 months, the smallest 12- month increase in the index since February 2004."