Sunday, November 29, 2009

Global Warming, Deer, and Japan



















Daylilies, or Hemerocallis, are indigenous to China, Korea and Japan. In the recent article in the Mainichi Newspaper they state:

"Global warming brings deer and destruction to Oze National Park wetlands.

The Nikko
Yellow Daylily, a perennial flower that grows all over the grassy wetlands here, turns the fields into a yellow carpet come July. Last year, however, there were almost no flowers to be seen, and it wasn't just the late spring frost that was to blame. It was deer, who came with big appetites to ravage the wildflowers...

Destruction caused by deer feeding was first observed in Okunikko in 1991, and since then the thousands of Shirane Violets that once bloomed on nearby Mt. Shirane have been almost wiped out. Meanwhile, bamboo grasses have also fallen prey to the deer, and are being replaced by plant varieties the animals are less partial to. An Utsunomiya University study found that, as vegetation types changed, the number of butterfly species in the area dropped from 69 in the 1980s to 26 in 1996. The Mt. Shirane deer also increased around the base of the mountain, and went searching for new feeding grounds...

Deer normally inhabit plains and grasslands, but starting in the Meiji period, overhunting and development drove the animals into the mountains. Restrictions on hunting, combined with logging transforming forest into grassland, gave the deer new feeding grounds. Furthermore, it is snowing less, the number of hunters is dropping, and wolves became extinct, allowing deer numbers to increase."

The last paragraph details the problem, deer, not global warming. I have been hybridizing daylilies for 25 years and have kept detailed environmental as well as breeding records. I ,unlike the Brits and their destroyed temperature data, have retained mine. The problem is man and the explosion of deer due to man's intervention with the natural predators. There are now three to five times the number of deer in New Jersey than there were at the time of the Revolution. They are like rodents, eating and destroying the flora at a voracious pace. Frankly they do more damage to flora than any other effect.

The reason is that they have no natural enemies, not even man. Worse they are protected by man. They are vectors for Lyme disease and other diseases. They eat local plants when small, and the result is that other forms of vegetation survive, forms which in turn drive out the local plants. The problem is not global warming but the failure to control deer.

In fact in the New York and New Jersey area we have seen lowered temperatures and greater precipitation in the last 25 years. Our latest annual report details all of these effects. Reading articles like this makes one wonder if the "researchers" have a clue what the speak of. I think of Popper and his theory of science and that to Popper if one can show the contrary, an exception, then that suffices to deny the theory. I believe that the data we develop for the past 25 years is prima facie evidence of the deniability axiom.

There is no clear data or evidence of any kind that "global warming" is driving the deer to eat the daylilies. In fact there is clear evidence that the deer have expanded due solely to their loss of predators. They have moved to the top of the food chain. In fact the deer destroy the flora and if one recognizes that the flora absorb CO2 then the deer are a proximate cause of the increase in CO2! Perhaps then the logical conclusion is that the deer are the cause of global warming and not the opposite as stated by the Japanese academics! In fact the deer are uniformly and globally destroying high CO2 consumption flora almost everywhere. One should remember sources and sinks of any substance, including CO2. If man is the primary source of CO2, which may be debatable now that the Brits are revealed for what the Brits have always been know for, then plants are the primary sinks. The primary source of destruction of plants I contend is not man, but deer, yes you heard me, deer.



















Let's just look at the facts. Global warming did not drive the deer to eat the daylilies. They like daylilies, it is deer candy! Anyone who has ever grown daylilies knows this. I have been chasing deer for decades. They jump 8' fences, they attack people, yes I have been attacked by a deer, a violent creature, evil, dangerous. The equation is simple. Deer eat daylilies, like 5 year olds with candy. Yet the more they eat the more deer they produce and the more they eat, and so forth. It is uncontrolled growth, uncontrolled deer growth! There are no predators. The old predator-prey equation is missing a term. The daylilies just increase deer herds! It is not Global warming! Then the deer eat everything else, native plants, endangered species, everything!

Thus the conclusion is also clear. Get rid of the deer. Enforce the second Amendment, get everyone out there this time of year and shoot a deer! Bambis are disease carrying CO2 increasing monsters! Oh well, at least I tried.