The Idea Factory is a well written presentation of what happened in Bell Laboratories in its early and middle lifetime. The author has captured the view from within the Lab and has presented a history that is in many ways presented in a manner in which the Lab people would have wanted it presented. His conclusions however are subject to significant debate, if not being downright wrong.
I write this review having heard the author present his work
in Madison, NJ to an audience almost totally filled with hundreds of former
Labs staff and also as one who spent a great deal of time at the Labs from 1964
through 1972, while going back and forth to MIT, plus over fifty years in the
industry.
The author presents the often told tales of Shockley and the
transistor, Shannon and information theory, as well as all the management types
who formed, directed, and molded the Lab like Kelley and others. Many of these
people I knew firsthand and as any observer the view is all too often colored
by one’s position at the time.
The driving presumption of the author is best stated in his
introduction where he says:
“Some contemporary thinkers would lead us to believe that
twenty-first century innovation can only be accomplished by small groups of
nimble profit seeking entrepreneurs working amid the frenzy of market
competition. Those idea factories of the past, and perhaps their most gifted
employees, have no lessons for those of us enmeshed in today’s complex world.
This is too simplistic. To consider what occurred at Bell Labs, to glimpse the
inner workings of its invisible and now vanished “production lines” is to
consider the possibilities of what large human organizations might accomplish.”
This conclusion is frankly a significant over-reach, if not
just out right wrong, since it is posited without any basis in fact contained
within the book. The author never really looks at the many other parts of the
Lab, the tens of thousands who worked on miniscule parts of large systems. The
R&D group at Murray Hill was but a tiny part of an enterprise whose overall
goal was to ensure the monopoly that AT&T had been granted by the Federal
Government and to maximize the profit made in that monopoly.
To understand one must recognize that in the old Bell System
profit was defined as a return on investment, meaning the invested plant. Revenue
thus equaled expense, plus depreciation plus that profit construct; namely the
company could charge whatever it wanted to subject to the regulators limited
control. The game was thus to maximize profit, which in turn meant to maximize the
invested plant, and not to be maximally efficient in a competitive sense, there
was no competition. Understanding the ground rules of the old Bell System is
essential to the understanding of Bell Labs. No other company, save perhaps the
power utilities, functioned in such a manner. This was the basis of the world
view of the Labs, a world of monopolistic control.
But the “creative destruction” of the free market did begin
to surround the Labs. It surrounded the Labs in the areas in which the author appears
paradoxically to make them most successful. Let me discuss just three examples.
Satellite Communications: The author speaks glowingly of
Pierce and his vision of satellite communications. Yet Pierce wanted dozens of
low orbit satellites, apparently driven by his desire to have low time delay
for voice. He wrote a paper which appeared in Scientific American proselytizing
the idea. Based upon that proposal, COMSAT was formed and capitalized based
upon a need for this massive investment not only in space segment but also in
the complex tracking earth stations. A few days after the COMSAT IPO Hal Rosen
and his team at Hughes launched Syncom I, the first synchronous satellite. Within
weeks they launched Syncom II. Synchronous satellites provided global coverage
with only three satellites, not the dozens demanded by Pierce’s world view.
COMSAT was then off with its own satellite, Intelsat 1 and its progeny using
not Pierce, but Rosen. Somehow this minor fact is missing from the book.
Digital Switching: Fred Kappel was the Chairman of AT&T
in the 60s during the time of the development of the first Electronic Switching
System, the No 1 ESS. This system was developed by people such as Ray
Ketchledge and others. They had deployed a computer based system, albeit still
with analog mechanical switches called Fereeds. Fereeds were small mechanical
switches that clicked and clacked. The Fereeds made the new computer elements
be the dog still wagged by this old technological tail cross-connection
technology. Kappel wanted an all-digital switch and the Labs kept putting him
off. But at the time he had another card up his sleeve. AT&T also owned
Bell Canada and their Bell Labs entity called Bell Northern Research. So off he
went and got them to build the all-digital switch. The entity doing it became
Northern Telecom, NORTEL. NORTEL subsequently became a major switch supplier of
their new and better switches to the Operating Companies. Thus, in a true sense,
Kappel used the entrepreneurial spirit of the Canadians to do what the mass of
people at Bell Labs would not do.
The Internet: Now in the mid-1970s the ARPA net was in early
development and some of the basic principles were evolving from Government,
Academia, and a bunch of small start-up companies like Linkabit and BB&N.
ARPA, the DOD advanced research arm had an office called IPTO and they wanted
to expand the Internet more aggressively using the public telephone network.
Yet since AT&T was a monopoly they somehow had to co-opt AT&T to agree.
A first step was to go to a meeting at Murray Hill and seek their support. So
off go a couple of folks from ARPA and in Murray Hill they met the standard
Bell System meeting of a few dozen people. The senior person, a VP I was told,
began to lecture them that if they wanted this accomplished just send them the
money and they would deliver what they felt was the correct design. The ARPA
folks walked away somewhat aghast and immediately reached the conclusion that
they would develop what became the Internet, totally independent of AT&T.
This was, in a sense, the final straw since it sowed, in my opinion, the seeds
for AT&T's ultimate destruction, not the Judge Greene breakup.
The author, in my opinion, misses many other R&D
entities which had a significant role in the evolution of technology,
oftentimes well exceeding Bell Labs. Let me discuss just a few:
MIT Rad Lab: At the beginning of WW II Vannevar Bush set out
to establish a center for R&D focusing on radar. Bell Labs had tried to
capture this jewel but Bush wanted a more innovative and competitive center and
as such he chose MIT and from that came the Rad Lab. The Rad Lab was composed
of engineers, but they were drawn from many places and the best part was that
when the war was over they went back to those many places. The Rad Lab designed
radar but radar had the same elements as communications, and specifically
digital communications. Thus from the Rad Lab came such innovations as the
modem, designed by Jack Harrington, to interconnect signals from distributed
sites. From the Rad Labs came rapidly effected engineering systems, and the
terms system is critical, because the parts all worked together. From the Rad
Labs came a set of book, the Rad Lab Series, which became the bible for
engineers who entered the wireless world and the digital age. The Rad Lab was a
petri dish that bred hundreds of engineers who went forth and created the core
“startups” in the Cambridge 128 areas and also in Silicon Valley.
DoD Design Companies: It is well known that many of the
transistor companies were driven by the demands of DOD. Also many of these same
types of companies in Silicon Valley and in the 128 Corridor were driven by DOD
money as well. Groups of engineers educated from the Rad Lab type entities of
WW II came out and started small companies fed from the DOD demands in those
days. It allowed for many bright engineers to experience the “startup” albeit
at the Government trough.
This this book has strengths and weaknesses. Its strengths
are:
1. A well written story of some of the key players in Bell
Labs.
2. A well described evolution of the development of the
management techniques.
3. An excellent discussion of some of the major
personalities in the R&D world at the time.
Its weaknesses however should be considered when taking the
author’s conclusions to heart. Namely:
1. This is truly a tale written from the perspective of Bell
Labs. It totally fails to consider the competitors and thus when reaching his
conclusion the author does so without any basis in fact. He totally ignores the
weaknesses of such a system as Bell Labs and moreover he fails to consider the alternative
entities such as the Rad Lab and its offshoots. In my opinion this is the major
failing of this book. It would have been much more credible and useful if the
author had looked at Bell Labs in the context of the total environment; the
strengths and weaknesses and the competitors and alternative models of
research.
2. The monopolistic structure of AT&T was a major driver
for what people do and why. The issue of return on investment being the profit,
and not revenue less expenses, is a true distortion of what is done and why. This
idea of a world view is a formidable force. It molded what the Labs and
AT&T did and why they did it. The author seems to be totally devoid of any
notion of its import.
3. There were many failures at Bell Labs, and those failures
were never truly perceived by those within the system, and it was this blind
spot that in my opinion also led to its downfall. The author missed a great
opportunity to follow up on this. Instead we see all these Herculean minds
making great successes and yet the system collapses.
4. Bell Labs was enormous in size and scope at its high
point. I had spent time at Holmdel, Whippany, Indian Hill, Andover and even a
brief stint at the remains of West Street. Yet the focus is on Murray Hill and
a small part of a small part. This is especially disturbing in light of the
author’s global conclusion which is reached without a single discussion of
these areas. To do Bell Labs justice one must perforce covers these as well. The
Pierce, Shockley and Shannon tales are told again and again, but the efforts of
the hundreds of thousands of others over the decades are still silent. In the
presentation by the author before a mostly former Ball Labs group it was clear
that my observation on this point had substantial merit.
Overall there is a significant story to be told but this
author does not accomplish it. In fact the author’s statement denigrating the
entrepreneur and the process of “creative destruction” is made without any
attempt to understand the difference between a monopolistic structure and
competitive markets. Perhaps if we had kept the old paradigm we would still
have our black rotary dial phones.