The probability of long-term opioid use increases most sharply in the first days of therapy, particularly after 5 days or 1 month of opioids have been prescribed, and levels off after approximately 12 weeks of therapy. The rate of long-term use was relatively low (6.0% on opioids 1 year later) for persons with at least 1 day of opioid therapy, but increased to 13.5% for persons whose first episode of use was for ≥8 days and to 29.9% when the first episode of use was for ≥31 days. Although ≥31 days of initial opioid prescriptions are not common, approximately 7% do exceed a 1-month supply. Discussions with patients about the long-term use of opioids to manage pain should occur early in the opioid prescribing process, perhaps as early as the first refill, because approximately 1 in 7 persons who received a refill or had a second opioid prescription authorized were on opioids 1 year later. As expected, patients initiated on long-acting opioids had the highest probabilities of long-term use. However, the finding that patients initiated with tramadol had the next highest probability of long-term use was unexpected; because of tramadol’s minimal affinity for the μ-opioid receptor, it is deemed a relatively safe opioid agonist with lower abuse potential than other opioids
The results are below:
and also:
They conclude:
This is a significant and important result. All physicians for license renewal must take a course and be tested on dealing with opioid abuse. Hydrocodone and Oxycodone have been distributed somewhat freely in the past and their impact not fully understood. Today with the above results as a start much more careful handling is essential.