Friday, June 5, 2020

New Jersey Recovery Plan

A while back the Governor put our a recovery plan. In it he laid out six principles (see MedPage for all States). They were:  

  1. Principle 1: Demonstrate Sustained Reductions in New COVID-19 Cases and Hospitalizations
  2. Principle 2: Expand Testing Capacity: At least double current diagnostic testing capacity etc 
  3. Principle 3: Implement Robust Contact Tracing. This is the "army" of trackers. One wonders how this will work with the masses of protesters especially if many are from out of state. 
  4. Principle 4: Secure Safe Places and Resources for Isolation and Quarantine. This means quarantine those infected. It takes "shelter in place" to the extreme. 
  5. Principle 5: Execute a Responsible Economic Restart. This means doing what a politically well connected group of friends of the Governor tell us. 
  6. Principle 6: Ensure New Jersey’s Resiliency. Somehow this means that before we can open the State the State must have prepared, approved, and implemented a plan as well as have created inventories to prepare for the next yet to be defined pandemic. 
 First, even the first principle is so vague that we cannot understand what we must do to meet it. Second, and this is interesting, the State is now shutting down Testing Sites, such as the Arts Center in Holmdel. So does that mean, well just what does it mean? As we have noted repeatedly, contact tracing is very complex and difficult. Add to that the massive groups of protestors it is not clear that anything productive can be accomplished. The quarantine issue has massive Constitutional issues regarding due process, but we leave that the the Courts. The last two are utter consultant speak. One can never know if and when one has achieved these.

There has been this stress on science and numbers, yet none, none, of the above have been quantified or scientific.