NJ 2020 06 15

First an interesting chart. The above is the ratio of total deaths to total infected as a function of day. This is NOT the mortality for two key reasons. First the numerator may be grossly misrepresented fallaciously. Second the denominator is not all who are infected. It is a  metric and that is all. 

What is of interest is as follows:

1. The lines are almost flat, no significant variation.

2. The LTC is nearly 20% Namely any infected LTC patients has a 1:5 chance of dying.

3. The data behind these numbers is totally lacking.

The above is the State new cases dropping nicely but then again it is weekend data.

The county is bouncing at zero. Unlike New York the NJ Governor has provided no metrics and continues his Three Card Monty scheme.

Deaths continue but the dynamics regarding them is lacking. We could assume that there is a 30 day delay between test and death but that is just a guess.

The deaths are typical for a weekend namely Sunday reports have no LTC.