As Covid expands we have been inundated with numbers all over the place. Let me give a simple example for NJ.
1. The NJ population is roughly 9 million
2. There has been roughly 1 million cases so we have 1 million with natural immunity
3. We have 6.3 million who are vaccinated
4. That is a total of 7.3 million
5. That means there are 1.7 million vulnerable
6. But based upon other data we lnow that there are likely another 0.7 million who have natural immunity and not reported.
7. Thus we have a vulnerable base of 1 million
8.We see about 2000 cases per day
9. Thus in 500 days we would have total immunity if things continue
10. That means that sometime in late 2022 we have total immunity if no one else is vaccinated
11. However we are vaccinating 70,000 per day!
12. Thus in roughly 15 more days we are finished, well before a natural takeover
13. So what is the problem?
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