Friday, February 14, 2014

Bringing a Grown Person to Tears

The Massachusetts implementation of the ACA web services has apparently been a fiasco[1]. The Globe states:

The head of the state’s beleaguered health insurance marketplace, which was once a national model, broke down in tears Thursday, as she described how demoralizing it has been for her staff to struggle with a broken website that has left an unknown number of people without coverage...., the executive director of the Massachusetts Health Connector, wept at a board meeting, where it was disclosed that 50,000 applications for health insurance are sitting in a pile, and have yet to be entered into a computer system.

Now this is the state that had the infrastructure in place and had something working. They claimed 97% enrollment. So why change, simple the ACA. The result is a catastrophic collapse of the system. No computer access and apparently all those fellow “executives” managing all the paper work.

Now previously this individual, showing her exuberance in how well the ACA would be accepted, stated[2]:

How will the ACA, the national health care overhaul, affect the Connector? It really strengthens the Health Connector in a number of ways. As I mentioned, a very important part of what we do is to offer subsidies to a certain part of the population to help them pay for health insurance. The ACA expands that opportunity, so there will be more people able to access subsidies through the exchange. For example, low-income workers who currently have access to employer insurance but are unable to afford it will be eligible for subsidies. The ACA also makes major investments into the exchange so we can update our technology. Our goal is to offer a significantly better user experience, an easy-to-navigate process.

Now the State Web site states[3]:

Before joining the Health Connector, ... was Director of Contracting Strategy Analytics at Tufts Health Plan in Massachusetts, where she worked extensively on health care reimbursement issues and payer-provider collaboration initiatives. ... started her career as a management consultant with McKinsey & Company and subsequently Deloitte Consulting, where she served a wide variety of clients in the health care industry. ... graduated from Peking University of China and earned her M.B.A. from Harvard Business School.

Yes, a Harvard MBA. I guess the new strategy for Harvard is that if you can’t get the web site to work you just break down in tears. Never saw that at MIT but after all we had to make things work. So here we have a case of how we take a “manager” and place them in a task which requires some technical capabilities and apparently they collapse. Even Mankiw bemoans the problem[4].

One of the themes that we have all heard over the past few years is that President Obama's healthcare reform is merely bringing the kind of changes Massachusetts had under Governor Romney to the nation. If that were really true, you would think that these national reforms would have minimal impact on the state of Massachusetts.

On the other hand we have Gruber from MIT still arguing for the benefits of the ACA predicating it on the benefits of the Massachusetts Plan[5]. He comments when criticizing the CBO report stating that 2.5 million or so will drop from the workforce, and he like so many other Left leaning folk see that as a positive opportunity. After all who really wants to work? Gruber states:

Mulligan—like so many of the law’s critics, in and out of the economics profession—gives a more one-sided view. He talks only about the marginal tax rates. A reader who relied exclusively on his column would have no idea the CBO cited multiple reasons for the shrinking workforce—and that some of these reasons were utterly defensible.  Ironically, while making a surprisingly moral case against examples of 100% tax rates, he ignores the moral case for leveling the playing field by breaking the link between work and insurance, so that workers are not chained to jobs where the value of their compensation is well below their disutility of working. The Affordable Care Act, like any major reform, has its virtues and its flaws. The best economists, like the best public officials, are the ones who deal with both.

But the Massachusetts problem is not an Economics problem. Frankly there are no Economics problems, unless we are discussing political philosophy. Reality has met that philosophy. The web site and all its environs just do not work. Now I have done large scale computer system developments since 1967, starting with the Apollo mission and moving on from there. They are really tough things and need good people. Oftentimes in today’s world the Beltway Bandits who end with the job are the lowest bidders, and look at these jobs as Golden Geese to feed them again and again. That is they never really finish, just get more change orders.

Reality is not economics. You do not draw two intersecting lines and jabber about some gross behavior principle which most likely will be disproved in a decade or so. Reality is making something work. Engineering is reality, Science is reality, Medicine is Reality, and even Law has elements of reality, especially when up against a jury.

Massachusetts shows a frightening example of what can happen even in the most experienced and most friendly environment. It already had 97% covered, but not by the ACA.