Simple Math

Just an update on the flu stats from the CDC:

The above are the incidence and mortality rates. Roughly incidence, 2017-2018, is about 12% and that is with flu shots. The incidence without flu shots is difficult to assess give the data. The CDC says there were about 160 million shots of vaccine. Thus given a population of about 330 million, there are 170 million without and thus the infection rate is about 35%.

The mortality rate is:

Thus a 35% infection rate without vaccine is about 100 million, and a mortality rate say ten times influenza, which seems a stretch, means 1 million dead. Just as a side note, the NCI notes: In 2018, an estimated 1,735,350 new cases of cancer will be diagnosed in the United States and 609,640 people will die from the disease. 

That is about 17 times the flu and twice that of all cancer deaths. That is if it is transmitted as efficiently as the flu and it has as high a mortality rate as has been projected thus far.