Saturday, August 21, 2021

NJ 2021 08 21

 Here we go. As you will see things are NOT really better. But we can explain why. However as usual we have grossly incompetent Public Health management which could have driven this to ground. But alas we do not.

Let us start with the demographics on vaccinations. The most noted is the increase in Black vaccinations. 

 

However the age vaccines are shocking. The 30-49 age group is where the most infections are occurring and at the same time the lowest vaccinations. These folks really do not understand the sequellae they are exposing themselves to.
The increase in County per day is massive. When you see that 80% of the total PoP are vaccinated then the real number is 5 times what we see below if one compares.
The state has the same increase.
The doubling time still decreases and is going down to where we were at the low point last fall!
However the death rate is about 0.5%, twice that of a bad flu. That is because we have gotten to the most vulnerable. However many in that low age group are morbidly obese, T2 diabetes, etc.
Thus we still see a death per day which could be avoided.
County prevalence is high
as is the State prevalence
The incremental national vaccinations have slowly started upwards
However we still lag as infections increase. I suspect nationally we have similar issues.
Infections normalized may have peaked but I would not bet on that
Town incidence is still increasing. Again it is highest amongst the 30-40 age group. Town Government is grossly incompetent in dealing with this.
The county and town show similar increases
Any incidence per PoP over 5% should be a concern. Here we show a lot of clusters.
Dover has managed to control the infections. Anything below 500 should be a concern. Anything below 200 is a crisis.
The town doubling is as below. Note it is heading to 200!