Monday, November 15, 2021

Breakthroughs and the CDC

 The CDC kind of gives some insight to breakthroughs. Here goes. It is a bit confusing but it reads something like this.

1. Incidence in unvaccinated is about 600 per 100,000 per week? 

2. Incidence in vaccinated is about 100 per 100,000 per week. Not really but that is what they say, I think. 

Also this is mid September data listed mid October and it is now mid November. Horrible way to steer a ship! But alas it is the FEDs.

Now a quick calculation:

1. Assume 500,000 people, say Morris County

2. Assume 80% vaccinated and 10% previously infected. Close and you may win a cigar!

3. Then we would have 90% "immune" and 10% vulnerable

4. Thus we have 100 times 4.5 per week from the immune pool or 450 and 600 times 0.5 from the vulnerable pool or 300. Thus we have 1.5 times the infections from those immune than from vulnerable. 

This calculation tells us a great deal as to how to handle the current plague. It is NOT the vulnerable it is the "immune". 

This virus almost seems engineered to be evasive. Wonder why?