Saturday, November 20, 2021

NJ 2021 11 20

 Things are getting worse by the hour. There has been an explosion of cases almost all break through cases. So much for herd immunity and the vaccine. Why? We really do not know. That is the problem. Based upon what we do know this should not be happening. When things like this occur we get the chance to better understand the dynamics.

Let us start with the county. It is exploding and the prevalence is increasing fast. This is amazing given that we have exceptionally high immunization.

The State prevalence is also showing the same.
The incidence is on a hyper increase curve. In fact it appears to have exploded. Why? We really have no clue and almost all are immune!
The State shows a similar effect.
The doubling time is dropping demonstrating the effect as above.
Here is the doubling time per county. Strange Hudson is so high since it is the least vaccinated! Warren has high vaccination and low pop density. Makes no sense.
Town prevalence shows similar increase. These are ALL immunized people. Why do we now hear about this. I suggest re-instituting self precautions as we did at the beginning.
Town and County show similar results.
With comparable doubling times.
National vaccinations are running at good level.
Yet new infections to vulnerable remains high
This is my new curve. We discussed this before but now we have some data to show the immune are not immune and now dominate the infection base.