Sunday, March 7, 2021

An Observation

 There are 9,000,000 people in New Jersey, rounding off

There have been 720,939 infected, or 720,000 rounding off

There have been 1,619,541 vaccinated first time at least or 1,620,000 rounding off

Thus there are a total of 2,340,000 immune as of today

Or 26% of the population is immune

Or 6,660,000 are vulnerable

The current prevalence is about 33,000 infected walking around

The  new infections per day is about 3,000

Or 45 new infections per day per 100,000 people not immune

Now at the peak we had 4,000 per day

On a population of 8,600,000 vulnerable

Or at rate 46 new infections per day per 100,000 people not immune

Thus our infections are going down not because of anything we are doing better but only because there are fewer vulnerable people! This is epidemiology 101! Nothing has changed EXCEPT the vaccine and more infected.

I wonder why our "Leaders" are not commenting on this at least in New Jersey. This is what Investment Bankers allegedly do for a living, except it is dollars not people. Harvard Business School Case Studies supposedly relishes in this type of analysis. So what  is The Banker up to?