NJ 2021 04 03

 Frankly it appears as if we have an expanding infection. First by town we still have the blistering clusters.

Now the town prevalence is starting to peak. BUT remember that the vulnerable base is only about 60% of the population so the prevalence is only reflective not dispositive.

The doubling toime has dropped and this bodes poorly.

The new cases per day are flat but high.

The daily incidence normalized by the vulnerable base shows an increase.

The daily vaccinations are about 3 million so we should get to a reasonable number. BUT I hear from many that they fear the vaccine! The CDC does not help this one. Lady "DOOM" seems to have lost all credibility.

This is still an interesting chart. I had expected a good decrease but we do not see it. The issue is the 18-19 year olds.

The overall doubling time is decreasing.

The state incidence is increasing.

The county incidence is increasing also.

The only good sign is decreasing mortality. I suspect it represent the younger infections.