Ending April and things appear to be getting better. It is important to note that NJ is the second highest incidence per PoP per day of all states. We will examine this a bit. We begin with the normalized incidence. It seems to be leveling off but that is still a bad sign. We are now well above 50% immune.
The chart below shows the incidence vs total immune. It is flat, and this is the concern. This means that we are seeing the same number of new cases per day with half the population. One can assume that this means we have not yet vaccinated the population spreading and getting infected. They have yet to step up. This is Public Health 101 which our Government seems clueless in. One must remember the sequallae from infection and in turn the cost of treating those sequellae.
Having clearly identified the problem here is more evidence. The vaccine rate is declining, namely the group spreading the disease is declining to get vaccinated. If so perhaps they should be taxed to pay the excess pending health care costs! Public Health 102!
Here is town doubling time. Going up nicely.
This is incidence per PoP per town. Again the hot spots are clear. It is Dover! There should be a big push to crush the outbreak.
This is daily incidence. Dropping nicely. Yet remember that we have half the vulnerable base. Yet even then we are coming out of fourth peak.
Town prevalence is still high but dropping. We seem to be going down to about 20.
Overall doubling time appears north of 200 on its way to 300.
State incidence is dropping
as is the county
By county we see Passaic, Essex, Camden and Warren seem high. Hudson is a concern for growth reasons.
Death rates are low but there is a massive data error which remains unexplained. LTC increased almost 300 in a day then dropped 150. That messes everything up for weeks! You cannot sail a ship with a magnet on your compass.
State prevalence is dropping
As is county
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