Friday, May 14, 2021

NJ 2021 05 15

 Things seems to be getting much better. However nationally there is still a high incidence on the vulnerable base. First the prevalence in the County seems to nearing zero. There is a concern as to noisy data still.

Statewide we have the prevalence below, nearing the low point of last summer. It will be interesting to see how this works out.
Mortality shows the results of the bad data recently. However we are still seeing LTC deaths attributed to the virus.
County incidence is very low
State incidence is also low. The four peaks are clear.
Town prevalence is still high. I suspect it is the 18-29 group.
Here we have a problem. Town is high but county near zero. This is a data issue across the state.
Doubling time is good and increasing
The immunization rate is dropping. Hopefully the revised CDC guidelines and J&J improvements solve the problem.
This is the real concern. The incidence normalized is still somewhat flat. It means that the infection rate remains high amongst those not immunized. This belies the herd immunity assumption.