Saturday, July 3, 2021

NJ 2021 07 03

 Happy 4th kind of. Two issues. First the non-LTC death rate is about 5%.  That means if you are not immune and you get infected there is a good chance you will not make it. It is no longer the older folks but the young ones! Second we are seeing a new peak, if you look at normalized data.

First the town prevalence is still about 10 people. Almost 100% over 65 vaccinated so it is the younger set.

The new cases are low and seem just like a noise level. However I wonder how many are not reported.
This is the national concern. The normalized daily incidence is rising. This may be another peak amongst the non vaccinated.
The vaccinations are weak. Beer and money do not work. Try abject terror. 5% mortality plus sequellae. But at this point people do not trust the Government.
This is interesting. We plot incidence along the sum of vaccinated and reported infected. We are close to that herd term which I do not believe in.
The state new infected is low but one must remember the need to normalize.
Same for the county
Note the non LTC deaths per day!
and the death rates!