Friday, July 30, 2021

NJ 2021 07 31

 Now we are the end of July with a very mixed picture. I will try and explain.

First the doubling time per town. Take Netcong and Harding. They have short doubling times. Dover is now quite high. Apparently it is working there. Chatham Boro is low. This means a very mixed message, Chatham has very high vaccinations with teen age breakouts.

Town prevalence is incrasing. With 95% the over 65 and 89% over 50 this is all the "kids" That is your target "market" if you had a clue had to address it.
New per day county and town. Town is low but county is rising.
Nationally we are in a bit of a mess. Vaccinations are dropping still and infections rising.
Daily incidences make no sense. This is CDC data if you can call it that. We have a massive increase.
Vaccinations are down the tube.
Here is the problem. This is NJ. Blacks are the least vaccinated. There are 1.136M but only 0.357M vaccinated. Compared to all other ethnic groups. Why? Not that it is not available.
The death rate is the lowest since the start of the pandemic. Clearly we have vaccinate almost all the 65+ and most of the 50+. Thus the mortality rates in the less than 50, is negligible. Ironically this means that we may just as well let them get infected and then be immune that way. Just a thought.
The doubling time is back to April and still dropping.
State wide the new infections continue. These seem to be in certain counties.
The local county seems to have peaked.
The total infections per PoP are somewhat flat by county but clearly we can see that Ocean and Monmouth dominate. Monmouth is four time Morris and eight time Hunterdon.
The daile deaths are still dropping.
State prevalence is flat and at the lowest since the start.
Likewise for the County