The NY Times reports on The Fauci's prognostications on Herd Immunity. They note:
In the pandemic’s early days, Dr. Fauci tended to cite the same 60 to 70 percent estimate that most experts did. About a month ago, he began saying “70, 75 percent” in television interviews. And last week, in an interview with CNBC News, he said “75, 80, 85 percent” and “75 to 80-plus percent.” In a telephone interview the next day, Dr. Fauci acknowledged that he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goal posts. He is doing so, he said, partly based on new science, and partly on his gut feeling that the country is finally ready to hear what he really thinks.
In my opinion based on an ongoing analysis of this elegantly engineered virus, he is way off. In fact there is no her immunity. Let's us go over the facts:
1. The virus enters the nasopharynx where it is nominally 94F. It can survive very nicely there.
2. If one were immunized the virus would try to go to the lungs but the immune system would recognized the spike protein and attack.
3. Bu the ones in the nasopharynx would still survive. You see at 94F the spike protein is folded a bit differently and thus the virus cannot enter the cell but it equally cannot be identified by an antibody. Sneaky little creature that was designed.
4. Thus the immunized person does not get sick but they remain a carrier! Yep, there they go, and if they start shouting or yelling in some closed environment the little virions start spreading.
5. If everyone were immunized then all we get is a dormant reserve.
6. However if we have an immunized pool left then people get ill when the virus gets to 98F and into the cells of the person.
7. Then the trouble really starts. These non immunized persons become mutations machines. The virus multiplies and each time it may mutate. Enough mutations and we now have a new virus and the cycle starts all over again.
8. Answer, there is no herd immunity and we need 100% vaccinations ASAP and a continuous watch for spike mutations for subsequent immunizations.
Facts are a real bummer folks, but trying to soft peddle this is worse. The virus as I have said is an elegantly designed bio-weapon. Unless aggressively attacked in toto, it keeps changing and attacks again. The key has been the design of a spike or entry protein which is temperature sensitive. Nice design, nice weapon.
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