Saturday, November 21, 2020

NJ 2020 11 21

 More cases low death rates. And they are focused on small clusters. When is a pandemic not a pandemic? Simple, when it is clustered not uniform. So who cares about the facts, just assume it is a pandemic....

Here is the daily incidence.Town is higher but seems to bounce. County reflects the cluster effect.

Here is town prevalence. Starting to really peak
Here are the clusters. The 3 highest are all adjacent as we had discussed. In the old days they would send Public Health teams there to mitigate, even quarantine. But today we all get to suffer!
Mortality is still low
Doubling time puts us back in late April.
Incidence in State makes that clear.
Incidence in County dominated by 5 sq mi cluster.
Deaths are slowly starting up again.