Some Insight

 Let us first look at the doubling time, a good metric to assess intensity. We are now back into the April time frame of concomitant high mortality.

 

Now look at the current mortality. It is two orders of magnitude lower for identical conditions. Why?

First race does play a role. Asians are low and Hispanics are high. One could assume it is the work and living conditions but that is at best a guess.

Now look at age. Here we have the over 80 bracket showing the highest but as noted before they are all dead now.

Thus what we face now is NOT what we faced seven months ago. We know who is infected, where and we no longer can kill off the older folks.

Now an observation on the Pfizer vaccine announcement. First the timing is in my opinion purely political, and that is a shame. Second, the FDA Expert Panel Review is always a deal breaker or deal delayer. My guess is they will vote to delay again for pure political reasons. People will die as a result but alas it is politics. The book on this will take another fifty years so no one will be at fault.

Another observation on the new COVID Task Force, well they are in my opinion all political so again no surprises. I suspect we will see a four to six month delay in the process due solely to the politics. The result will be more deaths and worse a collapsed economy. Pity.