Monday, March 30, 2020

NJ 2020 03 30

The infected continue to climb, the rate of increase in still 20-30% per day.
The day by day changes per county are below:
Overall there is an increasing rate. Part of the problem may be delayed or improperly timed reports.
The total per county are above. Bergen dominates. But from Somerset down there is almost negligble counts and growth.
On a per PoP basis by county above we see the bottom 4 are truly almost lacking in infection.
The above are the percent increase normalized. They are somewhat consistent and thus independent of PoP density. This is a classic modelling issue.

The above are the daily normalized changes by county. The Bergen numbers are startling, PoP density is lower than Union and Hudson.