From NEJM:
Given what historians have learned about past epidemics, it’s hard not to be jaded now. This
particular coronavirus may be new, but we have seen it all before. A
novel pathogen emerged in China? That’s no surprise: China has given
rise to many past pandemics. People were slow to recognize the threat?
That dynamic is what Camus described so well. Officials tried to
suppress early warnings? Of course. Governments have reacted with
authoritarian interventions? They often do — though the scale of China’s
interventions may be unprecedented. A quarantine fails to contain the
pathogen? That has happened more often than not, especially with
pathogens like influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 that render people
contagious before they’re symptomatic. This does not mean that
interventions are futile. When influenza struck the United States in
1918, different cities responded in different ways. Some were able to
learn from the mistakes of those that had been hit first. Cities that
implemented stringent controls, including school closures, bans on
public gathering, and other forms of isolation or quarantine, slowed the
course of the epidemic and reduced total mortality. China’s aggressive response may have delayed the global spread of the current outbreak.
History has a way of repeating. Yet one must remember:
"Delay is the deadliest form of denial" Ken Curtin.