Again a new week. Overall numbers decreasing but vaccines have slowed most likely due to weather. Chaos still rules the local distribution arms controlled by grossly incompetent State officials. Nothing really new.
Firs we start with the town incidence per PoP. Again Dover leads the list as well as surrounding towns. If we had a competent Public Health entity this would never occur but the County is as grossly incompetent as the State! The surrounding towns have an equally high rate.
The following is the new cases per County and Town. The town is 2 to 4 per day. This is due primarily to teenage groups, most apparently females.
This is reflected in town prevalence. We are now back to where we where at the peak last spring. There is no notice from the town and large gathering continue the spread. In a town of 9,000 at any time we have 40 active spreaders. In fact it may be 2-5 times that number if they are younger and non-symptomatic.
Now let us look at vaccine availability. Pfizer (red) finally seemed to get their act together catching up with Moderna (blue).
This is the chart which shows new infections vs percent immune. Last week was bad due to the storm. Hopefully this improves. This chart is critical since it shows when we will be past the pandemic. I suspect mid-April based upon this data.
This shows the vaccinated and infected. Note the small growth probably due to the storm.
This is the summary chart
This is the incremental vaccinations per day. This week we saw a dramatic drop. Frankly there really has been limited growth with the new Administration.
This is the Biden Curve. The current Administration has a 1.1 million per day run at day 1. With a doubling of supply one would have expected a greater growth. Again is is the incompetent State folks and now we see the same incompetence at the Fed level.
Death rates are climbing. Not clear why. But it should be a concern.
But again we are still having 8 deaths per day in LTC. New York is getting noticed but here in NJ this should never be happening! No one really cares.
Doubling time is now back to early June of last year.
State per day are dropping but only to the peak of the Spring.
County also is dropping.
The infections per PoP per County show Burlington as a hot spot.
State prevalence is decreasing to levels we saw early last May.
But County prevalence is still higher near the Spring peak.
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