Saturday, May 2, 2020

Coase, the Virus, and Rights


Coase had proposed an interesting Theorem. One way, I believe, to state it is:

In the case of an open and free market, independent of Government controls, free of transaction costs, an optimal distribution of "property" can be achieved directly or as a result of litigation.

Take the classic example of the railroad company and the farmer. The railroad company wants to have the cheapest costs to operate and the farmer wants to largest piece of land to cultivate. However in certain parts of the country at certain times of the year the train may emit sparks which in turn may result in a fire and burn down the farmers crops. The railroad has been granted an easement for the tracks while the farmer outright owns the land. So how shall we remedy this problem.

For Coase it is simply to let the farmer sue the railroad company at no cost. Thus the cost of the lost crops are mitigated by a payment from the railroad with no further intermediation. The costs are cleared locally and on a case by case basis.

A second approach is to have the Government come in with regulations and mandate that all railroads and farmers adhere to its rules. However, adhering to the rules may have significant externalities. All railroads must incur substantial overall costs, albeit forgoing any liabilities, and all farmers must lose putatively large acreages of useful growing land. The rules have substantial costs for all, not just for the cases where a problem may arise. Most importantly with Government mandated regulations, the costs are then imposed on everyone and the actions are taken whether they would be required or not. That is every railroad track, no matter on farmland or not, in summer or winter must adhere to the rules and bear the costs. The costs in turn are handed down to consumers. The benefits may accrue to the farmer be the farmer also will see costs resulting from increases in bringing products to market. Ultimately, however, each consumer will bear the burden.

Now consider a second issue, that of rights. The Founders were imbued with the construct of Natural Rights and the Constitution immortalizes these rights as part of the Bill of Rights. Any denial of any of these rights is looked upon very severely and Government has no open book options to seek baseless reasons to deny them. Thus a right of free speech, of the press, of assembly, of religion, to bear arms, search and seizure, trial by jury and a sacred part of our very existence as a people. Any attempt to deny them is a material breach of the duties of any Governmental individual.

Now add to this conversation the issue of the current COVID-19 virus, the virus. From a Coasian perspective one should allow individuals to litigate for damages. Namely if one is infected and one refuses to adhere to an appropriate protocol, then the other "individuals" so infected should be able to sue for damages at no transaction costs. Is this even possible? Frankly, yes. One can track the RNA virus as it mutates and identify the initial transmitter.

Unlike AIDS where people were terrified to do anything about the Patient Zero, who was well known and continued to infect people until he finally died, we can remedy this quickly. If someone infects another they are liable.

In contrast the non-Coasian way is Government regulation. This is the current heavy fisted manner in which state governments have suddenly grabbed massive powers, often abrogating fundamental Constitutional rights, and mandate draconian measures predicated on baseless data, stating, in an Orwellian manner, that it is "scientific". Ironically, these autocrats would not know a scientific fact if it landed on their nose, but alas, perforce of their election, they become imbued with all wisdom and powers.

Perhaps one could assume that by informing the populace of the danger, informing them how to avoid the danger, and testing to assess the prevalence, on can rely upon the willingness of most people to adhere to the precautions and not be overly restricted by draconian methods currently employed. For example, we tell people to wear seat belts, most do, those who do not often die in accidents. That is a quasi-Darwinian cleansing. We tell people not to smoke, those who choose to do so suffer the consequences. We tell people not to use drugs, for those who do consequences ensue. We tell people not to become obese, again, consequences and costs. Unfortunately in an externalities fashion in all of the above, there are costs that society as a who is charged. We pay for the consequences of obesity, drugs, driving, but we do so knowing that for almost all of us our freedoms under the Bill of Rights are sustained.

However, under the current circumstances we have had our rights absconded by politicians and in addition we are bearing an insurmountable cost. I suspect that there are alternatives to these measures akin to what we seen in the aforementioned. However we seem to be dominated by politicians and worse by academics. There are more Professors of this and that who opine from the security of their ivory tower, continuing to get their paycheck, spending time opining on the media while the mass of our citizens are suffering in drastic uncertainty of their very existence.

Is there thus a solution? Clearly in my opinion, not as an academic but hopefully as an adherent to our Constitution and an entrepreneur, tell people how to protect themselves, treat them with respect, especially our politicians who like to call us "knuckleheads" and manage the problem straightforwardly. Yes, there is a science under all of this, but we must beware of "false prophets" opining on baseless theories to obtain their "fifteen minutes".

At all extremes we must defend and preserve our rights under the Constitution. If we start to give them away we shall never get them back. Millions have fought to defend them. Millions will die if we lose them.