Thursday, May 21, 2020

NJ 2020 05 21

Let us begin with the town/county analysis
Here we have both and we see in the town a minimal occurrence. Not significant and most likely all LTC
The above is the town prevalence, still a handful of potentially infected, Given the movement of people this is a good sign and these should disappear in 2-3 weeks.
The above shows the clustering. Dover was and remains a hot spot. No real explanation.
State new cases is still leveling off with new infected. It is somewhat surprising.
County is low, dominated by the Dover cluster. Interesting way to target openings.
Deaths continue but recall they were most likely infected six weeks ago. Also as below:
we still have 50% LTC
State prevalence is down
county is much lower than state
and 14 day average running negative.