NJ 2020 05 03

No surprise here. No body worked yesterday, it must be some old death certificates they added. Again for the "knuckleheads" in Trenton, this data is useless.

The 14 day average is negative now for 17 consecutive days. So how is the Three Card Monty game in Trenton folks. What metric are we supposed to use with the corrupted data provided? Please not I am complaining about the "facts".

the above is the total and the following is the percent change by date:

It is quite low.

The above is the summary chart showing we are well beyond the peak. BTW parks are open, only a few secreted parks however and only for select people. It reminds me of Moscow in 1978. Empty shelves, queues, compliant workers, and lots for the Party members. Just not enough vodka here.

The above is the doubling time for the county:

and the above for the state.

The state prevalence is above.

Overall, lacking robust testing, which seems to be far in the distance, we are doing just fine. We yet have any stats from the Gov on his "scientific" basis for opening. The irony is that in an interview with Wallace on Fox the Gov agreed to the fallacious statement which he already corrected that the highest death rate was this past week. One need look no further than the data to see the death rates are themselves fallacious. Clearly Wallace was clueless and spreading incorrect facts and the Gov negligently refused to correct him, in fact he agreed. Second Wallace says no state reached the 14 day window when there are two errors there. First as we have shown NJ has. Second it is not state by state but regions within a state. It is in my opinion based upon the limited facts we have that the Gov is grossly misrepresenting the state of the pandemic. It is regrettable that no one has entered the discussion using the data.