NJ 2020 05 16

Now more than halfway thru May we have:

deaths are going down rather quickly

despite the still massive loss in LTC due to the Govs mandate too send the ill there

state prevalence is down to mid March levels

county prevalence is also back to the beginning of available data

penetration has peaked and is leveling off.

Overall we have a waning pandemic. My only suggestion is to wear gloves and do not waste time on tracing until we really know what to look for. Otherwise we will be chasing shadows.