Monday, May 18, 2020

Immunity, Is It Possible?

In a Draft paper by some Dutch authors they note:

In the current SARS‐CoV‐2 pandemic a key unsolved question is the quality and duration of acquired immunity in recovered individuals. This is crucial to solve, however SARS‐CoV‐2 has circulated for under five months, precluding a direct study. We therefore monitored 10 subjects over a time span of 35 years (1985‐2020), providing a total of 2473 follow up person‐months, and determined a) their antibody levels following infection by any of the four seasonal human coronaviruses, and b) the time period after which reinfections by the same virus can occur. An alarmingly short duration of protective immunity to coronaviruses was found by both analyses. We saw frequent reinfections at 12 months post‐infection and substantial reduction in antibody levels as soon as 6 months post‐infection

Thus immunization may or may not be effective. Perhaps like most flu like viruses an annual booster may be critical. 

This is a classic example of, "We just do not know", which seems lacking from all the "experts" we see on the so-called "News" programs.