Saturday, May 23, 2020

Observation

In the book on the history of Multiple Sclerosis, the author, Dr. Murray, notes:

The philosopher Bertrand Russell said it was characteristic of humans to be able to comfortably keep conflicting views in their minds at the same time. In the past century, we have carried with us different and sometimes conflicting theories of the cause of MS, often developing overarching concepts so that we could retain favored views for which we have some evidence, and still include weaker concepts for which we have less evidence, but not so little that we are comfortable dispensing with them entirely. Thomas Kuhn, the historian of science, said we might hold a number of differing and competing views, but eventually one theory persists, and the one that “wins” does so as much by a bandwagon effect as by reasoned argument, particularly when the evidence is not overwhelming.

Russell is correct and we often do this both consciously and subconsciously. Kuhn is even more correct as to the resolution of the conflict. Namely the loudest voice wins. This is seen today especially when we have all these "scientists" and "experts" espousing conflicting ideas, almost all based on ephemeral suspicions at best. 

It may take decades to sort through this mess. Namely resolving such things as the source, the transmission mechanism, the complexity of presentation and with wisdom of the approach taken to attempt to remedy. None has been too clear as of yet. But we have a cacophony of voices all too certain that their idea of the moment is correct and behind those voices are media outlets using these scientists to espouse their political extremes.

I have had the opportunity to have worked closely with some of these media experts over the years and it appears that they are more interested in obtaining more television time than understanding the facts. They become promoters for a paycheck, never being able to say that they do not really know.

Yet politicians have used the snippets that come from the mouths of these oracles to carry out their often destroying plans.