Before beginning let is address some scientific facts. The main threat now is the significant mutation rates. Namely, the logic is as follows:
1. Mutation results in ever more aggressive viruses.
2. Mutations occur many more times in immunocompromised and older patients
3. Younger patients have dramatically lower mutations
4. Some of the more virulent mutants are from just this pool of patients
5. Vaccinations must address this issue. Namely immunocompromised and older patients should be immunized to reduce mutations.
6. The use and deployment of vaccines on people at lower immune risk created an clear and present danger to all.
7. Currently states such as New Jersey are executing a plan which will create the highest mutation rates and in turn dramatically more virulent strains. Or as Forest Gump says, stupid is as stupid does.
Now for this week:
The town has ever-increasing prevalence. It is 50% higher than at the peak. I suspect this is the holiday season and the massively large gathering we saw.
The new per day for town and county, averaged, is shown below. The county still sees a peak and again holiday. If that were the case we would expect a reduction in the next month.
As usual New Jersey is lagging in vaccine utilization. The characteristic of the effective states is pure pragmatism. Also they lack the cronyism of New Jersey and New York,. New Jersey is the worst because this is an election year for the Governor and every influence group has their hand out. Thus the massively high mortality in older people.
The lack if integrity in death reports makes the rate highly problematic. We believe it is still 2%, well above last summer as low as 0.2%.
The doubling time is flat. That means it is not getting worse but not better.
The state rate per day is below
The county below here
Total deaths below showing the up-sweep
The daily deaths are below. There are still 20 LTC per day! One wonders what The Banker and Nurse Ratchet think they are doing, there will be another 7,000 deaths just from their lack of organization in LTC alone!
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