This will be a long report. It details the vaccines fiasco, demographics and infections/mortality. Let's first start with NJ vaccine availability. It is shown below. Now apparently Pfizer has announced a refusal to meet prior commitments so perhaps we may see a nationalizing of the company, but possibly. Total supply is about 950,000.
The chart below compares NJ and West Virginia. NJ is half of WV but in NJ they are getting to the murderers, arsonists, thieves, smokers and the Press. More on that latter.
Vaccination progress is slow. About 50% of the supply has been administered as noted above the administration is chaotic. The Banker and Nurse Ratchet spent the week in DC I gather and some underling built the
web site to register. It appears to be one developed by someone's nephew who took an online web building course and this may have been a class project. It is clearly the worst design I have ever seen and just does not work. Incompetence reigns in NJ.
Now I have called this the Biden Curve. It represents promised to actual. Strangely the first few weeks will be a Trumpian hold over so we see that hitting 1 million a week is a slam dunk. The promised what what was already a fact, at least for now. The challenge is doubling or tripling. I gather the President has promised to give Canada some of the US Pfizer supply so it will make the challenge worse.
Now we look at NJ details. The county towns show high incidence as noted before. The Dover cluster seems to dominate and it should have been addressed months ago! So much for Public Health.
The new cases in County and Town show a flattening as best we can tell. It is post holiday and hopefully the "families" can get back to "business as usual".
The town prevalence is still peaking. Not clear the problem but the chart below shows 100 people walking around infected and spreading the virus. We shall discuss who shortly.
Now for demographics. The chart below is the percent by race. Whites dominate but this must be normalized.
By age and normalized we see the largest are 18-19 and 80+ Not many 80+ but tons of 18-19. They are the spreaders. They are the spreaders! They are reckless, wandering about all over and all hours then spreading upwards to 30-49 and 50-64. This is again a typical public health problem, educating and policing this group is critical. So much of the infection spread can be handled simply by targeting this spreaders.
This is the critical slide. The Hispanics are demographically the most significant spreaders. Most work in jobs such as housekeeping and local labor and they live in Dover and cluster towns of high density residences. This is again a simple public health issue which has not been addressed. Now for low Asian counts. As we noted in o
ur paper on Mutations this is due to the fact that Chinese, Koreans, and Japanese have a slightly different genetic ACE2 receptor which reduces the spike protein adhesion and virulence. One would suspect this number is dominated by South Asians such as Indian and Pakistan communities who do not have the genetic advantage of the Chinese.
Death rates are running at 2%. Not clear why it has jumped but suspect higher overall infection rates.
Doubling time was doing great until yesterday. However I suspect it is the corrupted data reporting problem which has been chronic. Namely what is reported on a specific day may be days or even weeks old.
This aberration is shown below for the state. A significant daily increase.
The county is below:
The deaths are shown below slowly decreasing in rate:
LTC deaths seem to be decreasing but they are still very high. This should have been the first target after health care workers but the gross incompetence of the State has led to another thousand needless deaths.
State prevalence is high at 0.6%.
County is also at same rate.
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