NJ 2020 04 05

Again we start with the total. It is growing but it is slowing. The peak was to be April 8 and we will see.

We see the % change dropping significantly. It is now down to 12% the second lowest. Again we argue that this data is very noisy.

The above is the doubling time for the state. We are now well above 6 and the highest other than what I would consider an measurement anomaly.

This is the doubling time for Morris. It alsi is wwell above six.

This is an interesting chart. It shows the total, symptomatic, recovered and new. The new line is of interest since it is a drop.

The above is the town stats for Morris as of April 3.

We see the Florham Park doubling explode and wonder if this will continue. Delays in getting town day are significant.

The above is the total for a set of towns. Mendham seems to be well controlled.

Now I tried to put this in perspective. Namely I listed all deaths from causes in 2018 and placed COVID-19. It is a blip.

Tha above shows this blip. We have been told millions and we have also been told the peak is April 8 three days hence. As of now COVID-19 is 0.3% of all deaths anticipated. You are 20 times more likely to get killed in an accident, fifteen times more likely to die of Alzheimers.

Perhaps you may not need all that toilet tissue. Panics have strange ways.