Saturday, April 18, 2020

NJ 2020 04 18

Let's hope Google does not wash out all the graphs as they apparently did last night. Here we go:

We start with the total number. Graphically we can see it flattening off. However as we noted yesterday from the Santa Clara study of real tests as we had recommended a week or so back there may be 50 times as many infected and without symptoms.

The doubling times are near 20 days which is quite good, showing the infection is abating.
Deaths are decreasing and this is a lagging indicator. As with all other measures this is most likely also in gross errors.
The above is the state prevalence decreasing.
The above is the county prevalence.
The above is the town prevalence. Finally the summary: