Monday, April 6, 2020

NJ 2020 04 06

Arguably we are two days from the peak. So let's take a look.
Growth continues:
The rate has increased but still below 20%.
The doubling time for the state is well above 4 as compared to the drastic 2.5 predicted.
Here we have a large jump in Monmouth dominating the state. Morris is well above 8 which is very good as is Somerset. I would argue that anything above 6 is good.
The above is the doubling time for Morris County. We dipped on the 4th but overall it is a good increase and the highest yet.
The gap between Infected and symptomatic is growing as is the explosive growth of recovered. This problem is that these numbers are very noisy. Thus a day by day comparison must take that into account.