We start with a comparison. The above is the number of deaths per year in NJ from various causes. I have added COVID, Now the data is from 2017 and perhaps many of the COVID deaths would have occurred anyhow but have been classified elsewhere. However the current number ranks thirds as of today.
The above is the total number
and reflected above in 1.2% of the population diagnosed with COVID disease, namely symptoms.
Mortality is above. Unfortunately as we have noted every 7 days on weekends reporting is recklessly deficient and thus we may think things get better and then worse when in reality it is the State's reporting incompetence. If the Gov ever wants to reopen the state based upon facts as he alleges then get the facts correct.
Morris has a long run of negative 14 day rates. This is a reasonable metric but since the Gov fails to provide the target metric we remain in the dark.
the above is state prevalence, plateauing, and
the county above.
One may ask why the plateau? What is the phenomenon that is driving this? Is it the Typhoid Mary syndrome as we suspect, namely infected but without symptoms. I suspect it is that and the carriers are 10-15 year olds who are in large groups and then carry the infects home. I see this especially in Madison where there is not apparent attempt to control.
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