NJ 2020 04 28

First we start with what the Gov states is the opening data set. However he never seems to give the data from his perspective so we use the data and do the chart.

Note that Morris has a 14 day negative for 12 days. So what else must the county do? How long must we wait? He wants to quarantine the sick in State institutions leading to God knows what. Free Morris!

The county prevalence drops

the state prevalence drops

The state death rate skyrockets but that is standard messed up data! How in God's name are we to make decisions when data is so messed up. Just look at every weekend. The curve is periodic. I will do an FFT to prove it. Every Tuesday report explodes after a Sunday/Monday collapse. Garbage in and Garbage out!

The doubling time is excellent, the virus is dying out.

The prevalence vs distance from Manhattan is holding up.

The prevalence vs population density also holds up quite well.

Bottom line. If we are to do anything we need honest data not the junk we seem to be getting from the state. Is anyone there or does the Gov want to close the state permanently!