Monday, April 27, 2020

NJ 2020 04 27

Here we go again. Remember that this is day from Sunday at best and often it is often grossly distorted especially in deaths. We start with totals:
Now the deaths are still low but that is a weekend phenomenon.
The county prevalence is dropping:
as well as the 14 day lag numbers:
The above shows a good lag factor but it is slowing due to the slow decline in prevalence.
The above is the doubling time by county. Many are now well above 40 days!
The above is doubling by state and date and we are doing quite well

the above is the county by date. We seem to be getting out of the problem quite well.
this is the 14 day change showing one county with problems.
Finally the mortality by cause as of today.