Saturday, April 25, 2020

NJ 2020 04 25

We start as usual with the total:
and then the death tally:
which is staying low. We expect another weekend of confused data. It seems however that many deaths, a third, are Nursing Homes.
Prevalence is flattening which is a concern.
It is reflected in the county numbers as well

whereas the county 14 day running tally is negative now for 8 consecutive days.

and Passaic is the only large positive.
The doubling times are holding very high
and this holds across counties
The above is the summary chart, the gap between Infected and Recovered should be narrowing. This seems to imply some lingering group of contacts continuing to spread the infection.