Sunday, April 12, 2020

NJ 2020 04 12

The total is growing but at a lower rate.
One can see the rate slowly decrease and doing so consistently.
The state doubling time is consistently increasing. Again remember the Academics said 2.5 we are now at 9 plus.
The counties now seems to be consistent with the state.
Morris is well above 12, a very slow rate of change.
The above ias as usual the most interesting. The New is a plateau and has been so for eight days. One would expect a 10-14 day plateau to flush out the isolation mechanism and then see a decline. Thus a decline is expected starting on April 14 thru 18.
Deaths are down. These are lagging indicators so changes are still expected.